Plan B

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Fri 31 Jul 2020 update



Tue 13 Aug 2019 update:

Actually, we can do something about it, Extinction Rebellion brings us hope:

The result of many thinking hours and rounds of feedback.

Crystalised vision that awaits implementation.

Response to Deep Adaptation, even before it was a term.

Do you think it is too late and we need a Plan B?[edit | edit source]

Background thinking process:

The trouble with climate change is that destructive effects were too slow to trigger immediate actions. Think of some most notable projects in history:

They were made possible thanks to a common enemy, a goal big enough to motivate the brightest minds.

$1000 life-support capsule

Food + Water + Oxygen + Energy + Waste

In the simplest form: some space and a shipping container, just add people: craftsmen, geeks, and engineers.


Initial market[edit | edit source]

Not only preserving humanity but need to make it profitable.

Who will be early adopters, initial target audience? 1% who wants to increase their survival chances.

"hedge funders asked me the best way to maintain authority over their security forces after 'the event'"

Just like the military, Wall Street and Formula 1 being the predecessors of technological innovation to the masses.

Who will design it?[edit | edit source]

Inviting engineers and scientists to work on a goal that is way more meaningful than "geek porn".

Collaboration AND competition (antirivalry)[edit | edit source]

Milestones. Checkpoints. Metrics. Scoring. Reviews.

Open source from the ground up, including the meta-design of the competition.

Periodical checkpoints to compare the notes, do the scoring, allow less successful teams to catch-up and resume another round of collaboration AND competition.

More opportunities learn from each other. Sharing knowledge to maximize the impact.

Avoiding dead ends, putting teams back on track.

Ensuring the right incentives to share the progress at all stages of the program.

Materials and technology[edit | edit source]

Now we have much more than just stone, wood, steel, glass:

  • superconductors, graphene, aerogel, carbon fiber
  • GoPro suction - if you touch it with your hand it isn't even sticky, but on a flat surface...
  • Facebook 3D-printed drones beaming the internet through the lasers - so incredibly lightweight, staying up in the air for months
  • Sugru
  • Space blanket

Food[edit | edit source]

Xprize visioneering.png

Water[edit | edit source]

Recycling and harvesting.

Oxygen[edit | edit source]

Not applicable in the Earth version. Not required for MVP.

Energy[edit | edit source]

Efficient use, store and production.

Waste[edit | edit source]

Ideally "leave no trace" policy.

Budget[edit | edit source]

$1000 is a round number that in the future will be achievable in the future due to the economy of the scale.

Initially, the one-off purchase cost of materials surely will be higher.

Shipping containers are built to last and they preserve value.

$10000 is more attainable as of now.

Next steps[edit | edit source]

I do not have the spare resources to fund the main prize. In the meanwhile - polishing the idea, being resourceful with what is available. See also:

Related[edit | edit source]


  • Lightnign Talk at Boom Festival: - one could argue Burning Man is a terrible waste of resource. It's an unprecedented energy upgrade and it's definitely worth it. Adding a twist - making it a real challenge, 1 year on a desert, you need to grow your own.

Plan B vs BaseX[edit | edit source]

When sharing the concept of "Plan B" with others, a common reaction is - that's something Elon Musk is doing, making humanity the interplanetary species.

SpaceX - mission to Mars. But who will design the settlement? See: Mars Colony

Also BaseX, decimal system, human have ten fingers.

XPrize has "X" in their name: +

TODO: Definitely don't want paralysis by analysis and dwelling on the name without getting anything off the ground.


Blueprint of a civilization[edit | edit source]

The concept could be modular and create aggregate and use of common parts - a few capsules coming together and making use of shared equipment (economy of the scale).

Learning how to live on Earth before spreading out to other space.

A few decades from now you can just hop into the capsule and float in the space - either independently or as a part of a compound.